Triple J Hottest Betting Tips | Preview of the Hottest 100

Our betting overview of the Hottest 100 shows the key movements and bets in the market.

Wed, 20 Jan, 3:17 PM

Triple J Hottest 100

Australia Day is famous for so many reasons, but the day for us is all about sun, beers and of course Triple J Hottest 100. Last year saw Chet Faker dominate the competition with three songs in the top ten, with "Talk is Cheap" taking the top spot! Unlike last year when a Taylor Swift snub caused controversy, there has been nothing of the sort this time round, but even without Swifty there has been a lot of movement in the market!

American hip hop artist Kendrick Lamar heads the market with his "King Kunta", which is riddled with obscenities so may not be as popular with all audiences but has still come in from $14 when the market was first priced up in June to as short as $1.75. Lamar’s song peaked at 33 on the Australian charts (ARIA), which outlines the niche market this song appeals to. His hit "I" reached a high of 48 on the ARIA and then finished 53 in the Triple J rankings, so if past history is something to go by it’s worth looking for more value.

Major Lazer’s "Lean on" has been one of the main players in the market since the reveal - the electronic music group’s smash hit was $5 at the start of July and came into the new year at $2.40. During January the chart-topping "Lean on" has drifted to $3.50 but is expected to shorten as the deadline gets closer. Sportsbet have taken most of their money on this US chart-topping song but the bookmaker has revealed that, since the new year, they’ve received more bets on Kendrick Lamar.

The only other song which is priced in single figures is The Rubens hit "Hoops" which is making a late burst for the Triple J crown. The song was only priced up by bookmakers in the middle of December, when William Hill initially set a $15 price tag, whereas Sportsbet opened up with $11. The Aussie band’s price has shortened considerably in 2016 with William Hill’s recent price as short as $5, although Sportsbet are still offering a bit of value at $9.

The public obviously don’t remember when Jarryd James was a front-runner in the market half way through 2015 with "Do you remember". However punters have been avoiding the indie single and now it’s hit $21 in the market. However, our celebrity tipster Jade Albany is still backing the home-grown Jarryd, we just hope she didn’t get on when it was $4.

Powderfinger are the only band to win the title in back-to-back years since 1993. The Australian rock band topped the list in 2000 and 2001 with hits "My happiness" and "These Days". Therefore the chances of back-to-back wins for Chet Faker look pretty slim. However, the Victorian has been priced up at $17 to steal the top spot again after he partnered up with Marcus Marr to create ""The trouble with us"". Individually he only has one real contender, but the song "Bend" has drifted from $21 all the way to $51.

Australia are set for a hat-trick of winners if one of our boys or girls can beat one of the overseas competition in the market this year. This might not be as likely as it sounds as Triple J have received votes from over 150 countries including Kazakhstan, Iran, Guernsey and even New Zealand. Our best hope lies with the Rubens however Tame Impala’s ""The less I know the better" odds have been tumbling every day since they were added to the market. They were priced out at a massive $51 ten days ago by William Hill and were as short as $8 with the same company three days later, however if you hunt around for the best price, Sportsbet are offering $13.

So far the boys have dominated the market, so let’s take a look at who’s representing the women. MO is featured on the Major Lazer hit "Lean on" but then we have to go all the way down to "Magnets" which features Lorde and is now at $34 after being $41 just a few weeks ago. Meg Mac is the most likely female winner aside from the feature role artists - the Aussie girl’s song "Never Be" is still quite an unlikely winner as it’s been priced at $34. This song did enter at 39 on the ARIA singles chart and she has been nominated for "Best New Talent" award by Rolling Stone Australia so she could be worth a bet.

That’s most music lovers covered, apart from you Beliebers. Justin has three songs priced up the market all at relatively high prices. Given that people are no longer shy to admit they’re a fan of the young American, backing one of his smash hits may be a shrewd option. "Where are U now" has drifted to $81, "What do you mean" is currently priced at $151 and "Sorry" is a massive $251.

A couple of outsiders which are worth watching out for who have generated some interest on site and on social media channels are "Magnolia" by Gang of Youths ($34) and also "Dead Fox" by Courntey Barnett ($61).

Triple J Hottest 100

Triple J Hottest 100

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