UFC 216 – Best Bets

A look ahead to UFC 216 card picking out the best value on the board.

Fri, 6 Oct, 1:53 AM


Matt Schnell v Marco Beltran

This is a fight providing decent value on the underdog.


Schnell has been knocked out in his only two UFC fights. He’s extremely susceptible to early strikes with knockout power and Beltran has just that in his arsenal. Beltran, the Mexican is capable of putting a hit on Schnell’s chin and can really rattle him early.


Beltran since his inclusion to the UFC has changed gyms and is training a lot more comprehensively than he was before. Beltran’s previous opponents have been both of a higher calibre than Schnell’s and Schnell himself.


Schnell’s carelessness could be his undoing in this one as I expect Beltran to win by knockout.


Best Bet: Marco Beltran


Fabricio Werdum v Derrick Lewis

This battle of the big boys promising to be an entertaining one.


Werdum comes into this one as the heavily backed favourite. Lewis in my opinion is still not 100% right from his previous back issue and I think an amped up Werdum could really take advantage of that.


Werdum strongly believes that with an impressive performance in this fight he’s due a title shot at Stipe Miocic. Lewis has come out and told MMA Junkie that he plans on swinging for the fences in this battle. That will open himself up to being locked up. Werdum is calculated and if Lewis leaves himself exposed could be in for a short night. Werdum has the ability to put Lewis to sleep if he gets the right look and for all intents and purposes it looks like he’ll get a look in often.


Lewis retired as early as June and in my eyes, any fighter that even contemplates retirement is not one I want carrying my money.


Best Bet: Fabricio Werdum by Submission


Main Event: Tony Ferguson vs Kevin Lee

The Main event of this card promises to be a belter. Tony Ferguson and Kevin Lee have been jawing at each other for months now and it has really helped hype this fight up.


Lee’s last fight ended with him beating Michael Chiesa by rear naked choke. Lee’s growth within the UFC has been phenomenal and I truly believe he’s ready to take the jump to the next stage of his career. However, is it enough to beat Ferguson?


Ferguson has been the premier lightweight in the world for close to three years now. However, now, knowing that McGregor is back in the fold, could Ferguson have one eye on taking the belt off the very-entertaining Irishman?


Kevin Lee at 25 is at that point in every fighter’s career where after 5 or so years, they either progress or struggle. His resume has built itself nicely and I truly believe that he has the skills and value to knock off Tony Ferguson.


Kevin Lee identifies himself as being from Las Vegas. Why is this important? After the recent tragedy of the Las Vegas strip shooting, I actually see this being a monster handicapping factor. I think this Vegas crowd and Kevin Lee in tow lift and get the better of Ferguson.


Best Bet: Kevin Lee

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