Andy Holding's Premium Racing Tips for Tuesday
Kempton 18:40 Betting Odds- Winner
Merv Cox Memorial Handicap
- Starters:14
- Distance:1m 0f 0y
- Class: 5
- Age:4YO plus
- Prize:£4187
- Going:Standard to slow
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
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Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 1 |  Oliver Carmichael4-4041 | 10/3 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 5/2 | SP | 5/2 | 9/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 12/5 | 9/4 | 9/4 | SP | 3 | 13/5 | |
| 3 |  K Shoemark-86444 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 49/10 | 509/ 100 | |
| 10 |  Saffie Osborne866322 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 353/ 50 | 191/ 25 | |
| 12 |  D Egan892126 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 11/2 | SP | 13/2 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 647/ 100 | 29/4 | |
| 6 |  Paddy Bradley25-331 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | SP | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | SP | 49/10 | 49/5 | |
| 7 |  Georgia Dobie43-421 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 147/ 25 | 103/ 10 | |
| 9 |  W Buick790824 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | SP | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 529/ 100 | 113/ 10 | |
| 8 |  Arron D'Arcy10-665 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | SP | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 54/5 | 123/ 10 | |
| 14 |  L Morris606413 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 343/ 50 | 167/ 10 | |
| 5 |  Daniel Muscutt-16100 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | SP | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 49/5 | 88/5 | |
| 13 |  Ryan Kavanagh7035-5 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | SP | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 25 | SP | 49/5 | 24 | |
| 4 |  S M Levey7/279- | 28 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | SP | 22 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | SP | 54/5 | 20 | |
| 11 |  Charles Bishop4788-0 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | SP | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 127/ 10 | 27 | |
| 2 |  David Probert219-60 | SP | SP | SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kempton 18:40 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (13) Silca Bayg (GB) 5
Form: 4-4041
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 9 p
Colour: b
Dam: Strictly Silca
Sire: Cable Bay
Dam's Sire: Danehill Dancer
Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Oliver Carmichael (7)
He has won four times from 7f to 1m including 3 wins on polytrack. A winner at 3-1 at Goodwood over 1m (good to soft) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Canopus by 1/2l.
10/3
2 (14) Freddies Starg (IRE) 9
Form: 219-60
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 8 p 1
Colour: b
Dam: Freddies Girl
Sire: Starspangledbanner
Dam's Sire: More Than Ready
Trainer: R A Teal
Jockey: David Probert
A winner at 7f on polytrack. Beaten 17l behind River King at 33-1 when 11th of 12 on his latest outing at Newbury over 1m (good to firm) earlier this month. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
3 (9) Lady Manzorf (GB) 21
Form: -86444
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Montjeus Lady
Sire: Almanzor
Dam's Sire: Motivator
Trainer: Mrs A J Perrett
Jockey: K Shoemark
She has won three times at 7f on polytrack. Finished 1 1/4l behind Influential when fourth of 12 at 7-2fav on her latest outing over this course and distance last month.
13/2
4 (6) Island Herog (IRE) 285
Form: 7/279-
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 6 h 1
Colour: b
Dam: Caserta
Sire: Sottsass
Dam's Sire: Dansili
Trainer: H Main
Jockey: S M Levey
Placed once in four starts. Beaten 10l behind Man Of La Mancha at 20-1 when 9th of 13 on his latest outing at Sandown over 1m (soft) in August last year. He is wearing a hood for the first time.
28/1
5 (11) American Stateg (IRE) 8
Form: -16100
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: What Endures
Sire: Arizona
Dam's Sire: War Command
Trainer: I Furtado
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
He has won three times from 1m to 1m 1f including 2 wins on the all-weather. Beaten 9l behind Criminal Shore at 16-1 when 10th of 12 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 1m earlier this month. Has won at Southwell and Wolverhampton this season.
18/1
6 (10) I Am Meg (IRE) 105
Form: 25-331
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 5
Colour: b
Dam: Arabian Maiden
Sire: Dandy Man
Dam's Sire: New Approach
Trainer: M Murphy
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Successful at 1m and 1m 1f including a win on polytrack. Won on his latest outing when 2-1fav over this course and distance in February, beating Penfolds Grange by a nose.
15/2
7 (4) Bold Suitorg (GB) 41
Form: 43-421
Age: 9
Weight:
9 - 5
Colour: b
Dam: Samasana
Sire: Brazen Beau
Dam's Sire: Redback
Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Has won eight races from 7f to 1m on the all-weather (5 PO). A winner at 13-2 at Lingfield over 7f on his latest outing in April, beating Havana Touch by a nose.
8/1
8 (3) Celestias Cometf (IRE) 23
Form: 10-665
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: ch
Dam: Tobairin
Sire: Saxon Warrior
Dam's Sire: Teofilo
Trainer: J R Fanshawe
Jockey: Arron D'Arcy (7)
A winner at 1m on the all-weather. Finished 4 1/2l behind King's Hand when fifth of 8 at 13-2 on her latest outing at Lingfield over 1m 2f (good) last month.
11/1
9 (12) Criminalg (GB) 29
Form: 790824
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 4 p
Colour: b
Dam: Alea Iacta
Sire: Sea The Moon
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: R Hughes
Jockey: W Buick
Placed in five of 12 starts. Finished 2l behind Party Island when last of 4 at 9-4 on his latest outing at Bath over 1m 2f (firm) last month.
8/1
10 (7) Billy Millg (GB) 21
Form: 866322
Age: 8
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Phantom Spirit
Sire: Adaay
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: B R Millman
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Has won ten races from 6f to 1m including 8 wins on the all-weather (3 PO). Beaten a neck by Influential when second of 12 at 4-1 on his latest outing over this course and distance last month.
13/2
11 (1) Hour By Hourg (GB) 21
Form: 4788-0
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Steppe By Steppe
Sire: Time Test
Dam's Sire: Zamindar
Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: Charles Bishop
He has won four times at 6f. Well beaten at 18-1 behind Influential when last of 12 on his latest outing over this course and distance last month.
40/1
12 (8) Havana Touchg (GB) 7
Form: 892126
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 1
Colour: gr
Dam: Flighty Clarets
Sire: Havana Grey
Dam's Sire: Bahamian Bounty
Trainer: J Butler
Jockey: D Egan
He has won three times from 7f to 1m on polytrack. Finished 2 3/4l behind Donna Nook when sixth of 12 at 9-2 on his latest outing at Ripon over 1m (good) earlier this month.
7/1
13 (2) Just Typicalg (GB) 151
Form: 7035-5
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 0 t h
Colour: b
Dam: Just Like A Woman
Sire: Territories
Dam's Sire: Observatory
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh (5)
Winner of six races from 7f to 1m including 5 wins on the all-weather. Finished 5l behind Eligible when fifth of 11 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 1m in January.
25/1
14 (5) My Boy Harryg (GB) 12
Form: 606413
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 12 b
Colour: b
Dam: Malmostosa
Sire: Massaat
Dam's Sire: Intikhab
Trainer: J & S Best
Jockey: L Morris
Winner of five races from 7f to 1m including 3 wins on polytrack. Third of 7 behind Dion Baker beaten 3 1/2l at 5-2jt-fav on his latest outing at Brighton over 7f (good to firm) last month. Has won 3 times this season.
12/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Silca Bay 5/1, Lady Manzor 10/1, Billy Mill 13/2, Havana Touch 7/1, I Am Me 11/2, Bold Suitor 13/2, Criminal 7/1, Celestias Comet 16/1, My Boy Harry 10/1, American State 25/1, Just Typical 12/1, Island Hero 25/1, Hour By Hour 50/1, Freddies Star 25/1
oddschecker Verdict
SILCA BAY broke his turf duck with more comfort than the winning margin would suggest at Goodwood on Friday and, back on an artificial surface where he has been much more effective previously, he can go in again. That said, the four-year-old does face some stiff competition, including the likes of last-time-out winners I Am Me and Bold Suitor, whilst Billy Mill and Lady Manzor aren't out of this either.
Prediction: 1st Silca Bay, 2nd I Am Me, 3rd Bold Suitor
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