How long will Joshua v Takam last?

A look at the betting and stats for Anthony Joshua v Carlos Takam this Saturday.

How long will Joshua v Takam last?

Anthony Joshua is priced as short as 1/100 to beat Carlos Takam on Saturday night, so it would be safe to assume he’ll be pretty confident. The undefeated British fighter is predicting Takam will be a longer affair that people think saying, “I think we're going for a 10 to 12 round fight because this guy's head is like a block of cement." If you think Joshua is on the money with his 10-12 round prediction, you can back it at a best price of 25/1.

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Joshua has knocked out every single one of his professional opponents, so could Takam be the first to take him the distance at least? The 1/12 best price on AJ to win by KO would suggest probably not.

However, history proves Takam is tough. He took Alexander Povetkin to the 10th round before being KO’d. Povetkin’s average number of rounds per fight is 6, so Takam put up a valiant fight. He also took Joseph Parker all the way, eventually losing on points which is seven rounds higher than Parker’s average fight distance of five rounds.

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Going by this logic, Takam should take Joshua beyond round seven – considering AJ’s average fight length of just under three rounds. You get a best price of 4/1 on Joshua round 7-12.

Despite the stats, punters think Joshua will have too much for Takam. The most backed grouped round outcome is Joshua 1-6, priced at just 3/10. Individual round betting looks very different, with Joshua round 11 being most backed - taking 16% of bets. The current best price on AJ to win in round 11 is 80/1.

Oddschecker spokesman, George Elek: “Boxing fights are normally dominated by fanfare in the build up to the main event, and punters are taking little notice of AJ's prediction of a long fight. Takam may have a strong chin, but whether he has ever been hit by someone as powerful as his next opponent is yet to be seen, but the betting patterns suggest not.”

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