Seven of Swansea’s last eight home games against middle-third teams have had less than three goals.
One point from their last six games has seen Swansea teetering on the edge of the bottom three and without a manager. At least in West Ham they face an opponent who are also on a six game winless streak, during which they’ve scored just three goals.
For West Ham, their problems have come ever since the injury to Dimitri Payet and have been escalated by the further absences of Diafra Sakho, Victor Moses and most likely Manuel Lanzini for this game. That has left the attack significantly weakened but they have still shown an ability to grind out useful points by way of a couple of nil-nils in the past two weeks.
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Swansea put up a battling display at Man City and will hope that the first home game for caretaker boss Alan Curtis can mark a change in fortune. Seven of their eight defeats here since the start of 2014/15 have come against teams that either finished in the top seven last season or are currently in the top two this term (the exception being Stoke’s win here in October), so this is a far from easy place to visit, and given all of the Hammers injury problems we certainly wouldn’t want to be backing the away side. However, the Swans have drawn five of their last seven home games against middle-third teams and there looks to be value in the price of 5/2 on this one also finishing all-square.
This certainly doesn’t have the makings of a classic and under-goals backers may well be rewarded. Seven of Swansea’s last eight home games against middle-third teams have had fewer than three goals, as have five of West Ham’s last six matches. A third consecutive nil-nil for Slaven Bilic’s team can be backed at 9.5, while Under 1.5 Goals looks an excellent price at 3.2.
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