If you look back at each team’s last 38 games then Leicester would be 11 points clear. However, they don’t hand out titles in March and if the Foxes are going to complete this incredible journey then another three points here would be a great start. Their recent record against Newcastle is very positive, having recorded two 3-0 wins in the past 12 months, but they can be sure that the Toon will not be rolling over given their own predicament at the foot of the table.
The Foxes have lost just one of their last 17 home games, and that was against Arsenal, while they have won five of six matches at the King Power this season against the current bottom-eight. Four of those have been won by just a single goal margin though, and their number of goals scored has been generally dropping off as the season has progressed so there are reasons to think this won’t be a walkover. However, the defence has more than compensated in recent weeks as five of their last six wins have come to nil.
Newcastle have lost 17 of their last 20 away matches as they’ve managed to score just eight goals. That includes losing their last six on the bounce but four of those were goalless at half-time and those four all led to defeats by the narrowest of margins. The defence has been missing the presence of Fabricio Coloccini in the past two games but he looks set to return here while the attack should also be improved by the return of Andros Townsend, who has also missed a couple of matches.
Leicester may have preferred to be playing a side with nothing to play for but, while it would be perfectly forgivable for them to start getting nervous in these next few games, Newcastle’s away form is so poor they simply have to be taken on. However, we don’t expect this to be a stroll and the winning margin of Leicester by one at 3.8 or the Draw/Leicester HT/FT bet at 4.6 are where we’d be looking. Five of the Foxes last seven wins have come after being level at half-time as have five of Newcastle’s last eight defeats.
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