Blackpool v Southend

Southend came out on top by a two-goal margin in their play-off eliminator with Sheffield United on Wednesday night but the quick turnaround could work against them at Bloomfield Road. Take the 5/1 available on Blackpool moving a step closer to League One survival by edging ahead and then picking off the Shrimpers in a frantic finale.

It might be contrary to most expectations given that seven of the Seasiders previous wins have been by the odd goal and Phil Brown stated in his post-match interview in midweek that he expects a tight and tense encounter on the Fylde coast, but we’re reaching that time of year where teams get desperate when chasing games and this might be a bridge too far for the Essex outfit.

Neil McDonald was in attendance at Roots Hall and one imagines he picked up a few pointers having seen Southend at their best but consistency has been a problem for them and six of the eight defeats they’ve suffered since Christmas have been by two clear goals or more, including a 4-1 defeat at Rochdale last weekend.
Blackpool -1 on the handicap - 1pt @ 5/1

Colchester v Millwall

Colchester have turned a corner under Kevin Keen and back-to-back wins over Easter have suddenly injected a rush of belief that relegation can be avoided. That might be a tad optimistic but while the fighting spirit remains, the focus could be sharp enough to stand firm against a determined Millwall side. Back the 10/3 about this game producing under 1.5 goals.

The Lions aren’t the most fluid outfit in the promotion race but they’ve started recent matches with admirable intensity, scoring eight of their last nine goals inside the opening 24 minutes. If Colchester can weather that early storm, then heavy legs could be the defining feature of what follows and there’s also mileage in backing the 0-0 at nearly 16/1.

The U’s aren’t renowned for goalless affairs but this is mostly about Millwall, the team with the second-lowest total goals expectancy in the division. Neil Harris’ men have averaged fewer than three shots on target per game over the past five outings but seven clean sheets in the last 11 illustrate how difficult they can be to break down.
Under 1.5 goals - 1pt @ 10/3
0-0 correct score - 1pt @ 31/2

York v Leyton Orient

Let the head-scratching commence. York’s bid to retain their Football League status seems all but over following defeat at Plymouth on Easter Monday, a result that leaves the Minstermen eight points adrift of safety with seven games remaining. So now seems like the ideal time for them to finally show us how could they can be when playing without fear.

Jackie McNamara remains convinced there’s no shortage of talent in the dressing room at Bootham Crescent and recent shot data, although erratic, appears to back him up. On their day, City are perfectly capable of dominating against top-half opposition, especially at home, so the 15/4 about them beating Leyton Orient is worth chancing.

The O’s have fallen out of the play-off places with back-to-back defeats over the Easter weekend and a full-on collapse isn't out of the question. So little did they create against either Accrington or Hartlepool, it would be rude not to get involved on the 15/2 quote available on York to win to nil. Orient’s last four defeats have all arrived in this manner.
1pt York to beat Leyton Orient at 15/4 - 1pt @ 15/4
York to win to nil - 1pt @ 15/2