Mike Holden goes in search of more profits in Saturday's La Liga matches.
Las Palmas v Valencia - Saturday 16:15
Los Amarillos are in terrific form, having won four of the last five matches, and it’s a team almost entirely made up of Spaniards has shown a real appetite for games against the teams with the biggest reputations. Sevilla, Real Sociedad, Real Betis and Celta Vigo have all been beaten at the Estadio Gran Canaria, while Barcelona and Real Madrid were both made to suffer.
Valencia were lucky 1-0 winners at this ground in the Copa del Rey back in January but, prior to that, Quique Setien’s men had held them twice at Mestalla. Take the 31/10 about Las Palmas to win to nil, all of those last four victories have been achieved by that method. In their last five games, including the 2-1 home defeat to Real Madrid, they’ve conceded just 13 shots on target.
Celta Vigo v Deportivo - Saturday 20:05, Sky Interactive
For Celta, there’s already enough at stake in chasing a Champions League berth without throwing in the importance of being local rivals. The double dose of expectation might weigh heavy on a team with a sorry shot ratio of 41 per cent over the past 16 matches, a metric by which they currently rank as the third worst team in the division.
Eduardo Berizzo’s men are pleasing on the eye and their football can be exhilirating in fits and starts, which perhaps explains why the market is regularly sweet on them, but don’t attach too much weight to a 2-0 win at Mestalla last time out. An away win over Valencia is a great win on paper but not so clever once you factor in all the relevant caveats.
Deportivo have won on four of their last eight visits to Balaídos, a sequence of triumphs achieved between 2002 and 2012, so they hold quite an intimidating aura over their provincial rivals, and they’ve delivered some of their best performances this season on the back of international breaks, including the 2-0 win over Celta in the reverse fixture last November.