Chelsea can have the final say in the title race here (if Leicester haven’t already settled the matter on Sunday). It’s not how they’d have imagined it back in August but the chance to stop Spurs might be enough to motivate them into something resembling their true potential.
Last season Chelsea were unbeaten at home as they won 15 of 19 matches – comfortably the best record in the league. This time around they’ve managed just five wins at Stamford Bridge, the same as Newcastle and all three promoted teams. And out of those four teams only one has conceded more goals at home than Chelsea’s 27. They’ve not managed a clean sheet in their last 10 games at the Bridge and with no Courtois, Zouma, and possibly Terry or Cahill, it’s hard to see that sequence being broken against the second-best attack in the league.
Of those five home wins Chelsea have picked up four have come against the bottom four while the other was against an Arsenal side that finished with nine men and were level until going down to 10. The one positive is that they are still scoring goals and have failed to find the net just twice at home since the start of last season (both admittedly this campaign) and scored four times in an easy win at Bournemouth last weekend. As a result, nine of their 17 home games have had at least four goals and 11 have had three or more while both teams have scored in eight of the last nine.
Spurs have their own missing player to worry about after Dele Alli’s violent conduct charge. He’s failed to start seven games this season and they’ve won only once without him. However, most of those were early on in the campaign and this is a squad that has developed as a whole throughout the season. They’ve lost just three of 34 games since a slightly unfortunate loss at Old Trafford on the opening day. Since that defeat they’ve gone W3-D3-L1 away to the rest of the current top half as West Ham have been the only other side to stop them scoring.
Harry Kane has already made it back-to-back 20-goal Premier League seasons and needs just three more to make it consecutive 30-goal seasons in all competitions for Spurs. He’s scored in six of their last seven away games, with three doubles in that run, and he’ll no doubt fancy a go at this Chelsea back four. He’s 2.3 to score anytime but he’s scored the first goal in three of their last five away matches and is 5.5 to do so again.
With Kane spearheading them we certainly expect Spurs to be the superior side and 1.85 for the Draw No Bet is a good price while given Chelsea good scoring record at the Bridge we like the 4.5 on Spurs to Win and Both Teams to Score as a long shot.
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