Ipswich v MK Dons
The season has been a learning curve for Karl Robinson’s men and being less expansive has been the biggest lesson. The Dons have progressively become more difficult to break down and might have stood a chance had they set out like this since August. The Tractor Boys have only scored three times in their last seven outings, so the MK Dons clean sheet is also over-priced at 9/2.
Coventry v Sheff Utd
Nigel Adkins has shown signs of getting on top of the job at Bramall Lane in recent weeks but there’s significant doubts about the quality of the opposition they’ve faced with four of the bottom five shot-ratio teams among their last seven opponents. Coventry can win this comfortably and the 17/1 about them landing the 2-0 correct score is too big.
Crewe v Doncaster
Alex have only triumphed once since November but their roll call of home games over the past three months has been pretty formidable with Wigan (1-1), Rochdale (2-0), Walsall (1-1), Barnsley (1-2), Burton (1-1), Bradford (0-1) and Scunthorpe (2-3) all providing much stiffer tests than they should expect from Darren Ferguson’s men. The 40/1 about Crewe winning 2-0 is ludicrous.
Stevenage v Wimbledon
The Dons are in unchartered territory occupying a play-off berth, so getting over the line might be easier said than done. Stevenage were 2-1 winners in the reverse fixture at Kingsmeadow back in December and there’s more purpose about them under Darren Sarll. Once again, the value in the match betting is inflated further on the routine 2-0 scoreline, in this instance at 25/1.