Brighton vs Man Utd

Tom Love brings you weekly football predictions, tips and analysis on oddschecker.

Both these sides were victorious midweek in the Carabao Cup with Brighton winning at Preston and United seeing off Luton at Kenilworth Road. Graham Potter and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer heavily rotated their sides in order to keep things fresh for the Premier League so fatigue shouldn’t be a problem for either team in this one.

It was a disappointing and unexpected defeat for the Red Devils in their season opener at home to Crystal Palace, losing out 3-1. They couldn’t stop the devastating Palace counter attack and key men at the other pitch just weren’t on song. They did have an extended summer with their run in the Europa League but they have enough numbers to still be able to get past Palace. On that evidence I can understand a lot of people wanting to swerve them as they head south.

Brighton, by common consent, were unlucky against Chelsea a fortnight ago and the underlying performance data backed that up with the sides pretty much equal on xG, it’s worth bearing in mind that Chelsea also had a penalty which equals around 0.8 xG which shows how the Seagulls limited the Blues to few presentable chances.

Potter did see his side get their just rewards last week at St James’ Park though in a deserved 3-0 win against Newcastle. They looked very comfortable on the ball, as Potter teams tend to, but they also had a counter attacking threat with the likes of Aaron Connolly, Tariq Lamptey and Leandro Trossard cutting through the Magpies defensive lines regularly. They'll certainly cause similar problems to what Palace did and they have the capacity to get something out of the United backline.

I could see any result here and it wouldn’t particularly surprise me, at the prices I would rather side with Brighton but instead of backing anything in the outrights I’ll head to the both teams to score market. We can get some 4/5 on at least one goal for both sides and that looks more than fair in what should be an entertaining game to kick Saturday off.

Both teams to score - Yes - 2pts @ 4/5

I’ll also dip into the goalscorer market where we can back Brighton’s top scorer from last season, Neal Maupay, to notch anytime at a generous 5/2. The Frenchman had a decent debut campaign in the premier league last season, racking up double figures in the goals column and he’s started this one in a decent vain too with an early brace last week.

He’s a real penalty box poacher and benefitted from a host of regular creators in his time at Brentford to top the championship goal scoring charts. If you supply him in the box he has the acute movement and clinical edge to be decisive in front of goal. What’s more he is on penalties and given the regularity with which penalties are being given with VAR now introduced, it’s difficult to refuse such quotes on a central striker on a spot kick duty. United also conceded a penalty last week against Palace that was eventually converted by Wilfred Zaha.

Neal Maupay to score anytime - 1pt @ 5/2