Saturday 20:00

Newcastle fans are becoming more and more displeased with the way their side is approaching games. The toon army showed nothing going forward in recent games at Sheffield United and Arsenal and defensively they were a shambles against a gunners side that usually struggle in the final third.

Aston Villa have been a much better side than Arsenal this season and will be pleased to have a winnable game after a few tricky fixtures. I think they will show their class here and should win relatively comfortably, but it may only take a goal for the 3 points given how bad Newcastle are going forward and how good Villa have been at the back this season.

It’s no surprise that Villa are almost 1/2 here but we can get 5/6 on a home win and under 4.5 goals and that appeals. The only Villa league win this season that went over 4.5 goals was that crazy 7-2 outlier against Liverpool whereas Newcastle have seen under 4.5 goals in their last four defeats.

Where is the value?

  Aston Villa Draw Newcastle
Best Odds 8/15 19/5 6/1