20:00 Wednesday

Chelsea vs Real Madrid Stats

  • There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Chelsea's last 6 games in the Champions League.
  • Chelsea are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 matches in the Champions League.
  • Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 6 matches in the Champions League.

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Betting Tip: Half Time Draw

This tie is tantalisingly poised after a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Chelsea were the more threatening side in that game and arguably should’ve won the game after winning the shot count and showing greater attacking intent. They are back on home soil for this one though and will be delighted that they grabbed a vital away goal.

Defensively they’ve been so sound under Thomas Tuchel, it was another clean sheet in the weekend win over neighbours Fulham where they hardly gave them a sniff. The Blues have conceded just 5 times in the 11 games Tuchel has had at Stamford Bridge so the omens are good for the hosts who are rated as 8/13 shots to qualify for the final in Istanbul.

Zinedine Zidane will have more bodies available for this leg with the likes of Ferland Mendy and Sergio Ramos back in the frame. They, like Chelsea, have been more functional than flashy this season and we’ve seen their record in the latter stages of this competition under Zidane and should not be ruled out. Going forward there is a lot of pressure on the talismanic Karim Benzema but he’s happy to have it on his shoulders. The experience in this sides spine is their strong point and they should be competitive.

Instead of taking a result at full time I’m inclined to take the half time result to be a draw at 11/10. It landed in the first leg and how the tie is in the balance we should expect a tight and trappy opening. It was a play that landed in the game last week despite it being a frantic first half, this one could be a bit more passive.

Betting Tip: Jorginho to be Carded

One player who looks too big here to go into the book is Italian midfielder Jorginho who’s as big as 10/3 and as short as 7/5 in different places. The 10/3 makes plenty of appeal given Chelsea have something to hold on to, Jorginho has picked up 3 cautions already in this competition and he totted up 13 cards last season. What’s more, we also have a strict referee in Danielle Orsato who averages over 5 cards per game.

Chelsea vs Real Madrid Odds 

After their impressive 1-1 draw away, Chelsea are favouirtes to win the home tie with best odds of 6/5.

Where is the value?

  Chelsea Draw Wolves
Best Odds 6/5 41/17 13/5

Half Time Draw - 2pts @ 11/10
Jorginho to be Carded - 1pt @ 10/3