Friday 20:00

Euro 2021 Prediction: Turkey vs Italy

  • Italy won all 10 games in qualifying for the competition.
  • Turkey conceded just 3 goals in qualifying for the competition.
  • Turkey manager Senol Gunes guided Turkey to the semi-finals of the 2002 World Cup.
  • Euro 1980 was the last time a team won an opening match by 2 or more goals

Euro 2020 Prediction: Turkey +1.25 Asian Handicap

The wait is finally over. One whole year after it was meant to start, Euro 2020 is here and it all kicks off in the famous Stadio Olimpico in Rome as a popular Italy side face a well fancied Turkey outfit.

Roberto Mancini has overseen a real upturn for the Azzurri since he took over from Gian Piero Ventura in 2017. In fact, no Italian manager has a better win percentage (70%) than the former Inter Milan and Manchester City head honcho. Money has come for this side in the outright market over the past few weeks and it’s easy to see why given their added verve and energy in forward areas adding to a traditionally strong backline. 

With all group games played in the eternal city, it’s understandable as to why the Azzurri are as short as 2/5 in places to top Group A, that being said there are no whipping boys in this quartet and with strong defences on show any hammerings look unlikely. 

Turkey have been a popular underdog to get onside with in the run up to the Summer, when you look at their superb qualifying campaign it’s little surprise. However, that was quite a while back now it’s a question of whether experienced boss Senol Gunes can rediscover that solidarity, having the influential Mehdi Demiral back at the heart of defence will no doubt help.

Turkey were exceptional at the back in advancing through their group and that steely resolve make them a obdurate opponent for anyone. Despite this taking place on Italian soil, the Crescent Stars look overpriced at 8/1 in a game that’s likely to have much in it. 

With the goal line set quite low, bookmakers aren’t expecting a rout for the hosts and with that in mind the 7/10 offering on Turkey with a +1.25 start on the asian handicap makes plenty of appeal. Here we will make profit should the visitors win, draw or even lose by one goal and given the tight nature of opening matches historically it looks a solid angle of attack for Friday night.

Turkey vs Italy Odds

  Turkey Draw Italy
Best Odds 8/1 3/1 8/15

Turkey vs Italy line ups:

Turkey probable line-up (via WhoScored):

Cakir; Meras, Soyuncu, Demiral, Celik; Karaman, Calhanoglu, Yokuslu, Turfan, Yazici; Yilmaz

Italy probable line-up (via WhoScored):

Donnarumma; Spinazzola, Chiellini, Bonucci, Florenzi; Barella, Jorginho, Locatelli; Insigne, Immobile, Berardi

Turkey vs Italy Head to Head

Date Match Score Away
15 Nov 2006 Italy v Turkey 1-1 International Friendly
20 Nov 2002 Italy v Turkey 1-1 International Friendly
11 Jun 2000 Turkey v Italy 1-2 UEFA Euro 2000

Turkey v Italy Prediction

Turkey 0-1 Italy

Turkey +1.25 Asian Handicap - 2pts @ 13/19