Sunday 17:00

Euro 2021 Prediction: Italy vs Wales

  • Italy have scored at least 2 goals in their last 12 matches (European Championship).
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of Italy's last 11 games (European Championship).
  • Wales are undefeated in their last 7 matches (European Championship).

Euro 2020 Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals

These two sides have been the winners in a tight looking group F, the pair both picked up deserved wins against Turkey and sit on 6 and 4 points respectively, all but sealing a place in the round of 16 for both. That doesn’t put too much on this game, Wales need to win to top the group but aren’t fancied to at their price of 8/1.

Roberto Mancini may well freshen up his starting XI here given their intense pressing and energy put out in the first two games. Andrea Bellotti, Matteo Pessina, Federico Chiesa and Emerson could be some of the players to get a start. The strength in depth is strong among the Azzurri ranks and they’ll still be a goalscoring threat.

Wales have shown themselves to be a team to be feared going forward too and they’ll happily try spring on the break. There’s little to lose for the Dragons so they may as well make a game of it.

For those reasons the odds-against quotes of 6/5 on over 2.5 goals does make quite a lot of appeal, especially with how often it lands in Italy games.

Italy vs Wales Odds

  Italy Draw Wales
Best Odds 4/9 3/1 8/1

Italy vs Wales line ups:

Italy probable line-up (via WhoScored):

Donnarumma, Lorenzo, Bonucci, Acerbi, Spinazzola, Locatelli, Jorginho, Barella, Berardi, Immobile, Insigne 

Wales probable line-up (via WhoScored):

Ward, Roberts, Mepham, Rodon, Davies, Allen, Morrell, Bale, Ramsey, James, Moore

Italy vs Wales Head to Head

Date Match Score Away
05 Jun 1999 Italy vs Wales 4-0 Euro Qualification
16 Oct 2002 Wales vs Italy 2-1 Euro Qualification
06 Sep 2003 Italy vs Wales 4-0 Euro Qualification 

Italy vs Wales Prediction

Italy 3-1 Wales

Over 2.5 Goals - 1.5pts @ 6/5