16:45 Saturday

Chelsea vs Liverpool 

With only three cards to his name this campaign, Jordan Henderson’s price of 4/1 with William Hill may look a touch short. In fact, if we were to base it off his cards per 90 average, you would need something much closer to 9/1.

The reason I think this is a worthy punt though is the absence of Fabinho. The Brazilian lynchpin has been ruled out at Wembley with a hamstring injury meaning that Henderson will fill in at CDM. 

Domestically, Fabinho tops the reds charts for ill-discipline, picking up seven cards and committing an average of 1.4 fouls per game. He plays a pivotal role out of possession, disrupting the opposition's rhythm. 

In his absence, Henderson will have to adopt this enforcing role, which I think makes him a likely candidate for a card. 

FA Cup Final Odds

Jordan Henderson - 0.5pts @ 4/1

15:00 Saturday

Sheffield United vs Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest had to Bramall Lane on Saturday afternoon for the first leg of their play-off semi-final against Sheffield United and with the stakes so high, cards should flow. That has certainly been the case over the past six seasons with the first legs averaging over four cards per game.

Andre Marriner takes charge of this fixture, predominantly he officiates in the top flight but he has dished out ten cards in the three games he has taken charge of in the Championship this season. 

At 7/2 with Unibet, Jack Robinson’s price to be booked appeals. The defender only has five cards to his name this season, interestingly though, three of which have come in games against his former employers- Huddersfield, QPR and Nottingham Forest. 

It also does not hurt that this bet is as short as 15/8 elsewhere. 

Jack Robinson - 0.5pts

19:45 Saturday

Mansfield vs Northampton

This is a price that has got me very excited. Oliver Hawkins, Mansfield Town’s centre back/ striker, is 15/2 for a card with Bet365. 

The price is staggeringly large considering only Middlesbrough’s Matt Crooks (16), Coventry’s Gus Hamer (14), QPR’s Sam Field (14) and Barrow’s Oliver Banks (14) have accumulated more cards in the English Football league this season than the Stags utility man. 

Hawkins has been cautioned in a third of his domestic starts and his cards per average (0.34) suggests his price to go into the book should be much closer to 5/2.  

Oliver Hawkins Card - 1pt