19:45 Thursday

Croatia vs Denmark - Denmark Asian Handicap +0.25

Victory here for Kasper Hjulmand’s side could be momentous as it would see Denmark secure a spot in the Nations League finals. I think siding with the visitors with a quarter of a goal headstart on the Asian line is the most sensible play as it keeps the draw on side. 

Since the start of last year, this angle would have only lost three in 18 games involving the Danes, once in the Euro semi-final defeat to England and both other occasions at the Euros, vs Finland and against number two ranked nation Belgium.

Denmark Asian Handicap +0.25 - 1.5pts @ 77/100

19:45 Thursday

Belgium vs Wales - Ethan Ampadu to be booked

If he was going to stand any chance of playing in Qatar, Wales supremo Robert Page warned Ethan Ampadu that he must go out and play first team football, which is why he has wound up at Spezia. 
Two games in and the versatile Chelsea loanee is yet to pick up a card this campaign in Italy, only committing one foul, but he does have cynical pedigree. 

For club and country, he boasts a cards per 90 average of 0.37, making anything over 5/2 backable here. He has accumulated nine yellows and one red card in just 36 appearances for the Dragons. 

Ethan Ampadu to be booked - 1pt @ 10/3

19:45 Thursday

Poland v Netherlands - Denzel Dumfries Anytime Goalscorer

Louis van Gaal's side have been in unbelievably good form. The Netherlands will be looking to extend an unbeaten run that stretches back six months and 15 games as they head to Warsaw on Thursday. 

Over that period Oranje have been free scoring, bagging 49 times and scoring two or more goals in 81% of games. This, combined with the fact that they face a side that have conceded too minnows Andorra and San Marino, means we could see a plethora of Dutch goalscorers tonight. 

At 8/1 Denzel Dumfries' price certainly appeals. The full-back has found the net five times for his nation in 17 appearances, a goals per 0 average of 0.37, so I would have him much closer to the 9/2 mark here. 

Denzel Dumfries Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt @ 8/1