19:45 Monday

England vs Germany stats:

  • Nico Schlotterbeck has received a yellow card in both of his Nations League appearances for Germany
  • An opposition centre back has been booked in three of England's last five matches - including Nico Schlotterbeck in the reverse fixture
  • The hosts are on a run of three games without a goal for the first time since November 2000

 

England vs Germany Betting Tips:

Betting Tip: Under 2.5 goals

The Three Lions take to the field once again and welcome rivals Germany in their final match before the World Cup. It hasn’t been the ideal preparation and many England fans are not happy with the abject performances they’ve had to endure.

Gareth Southgate’s side have looked toothless going forward and the boss seems to have favoured a more defensive approach and sticking with the double pivot. There appears to be a lack of fluidity and understanding which leads to so many attacks breaking down and in turn, the ball gets recycled time and time again.

Both sides will have some key players missing for this clash and with four of England’s last five outings producing tedious periods and fewer than three goals scored, it’s hard to envisage this one being any different.

I’m not expecting a thriller and I think both sides will be happy to get this international break over and done with. As such, I’ll have a play on this one seeing fewer than three goals in total.

Under 2.5 Goals - 1.5pts @ 17/20

Betting Tip: Nico Schlotterbeck to be carded

I’m a huge fan of Nico Schlotterbeck. He was instrumental to Freiburg’s backline last season and he’s impressed since he moved to Borussia Dortmund during the summer.

He’s strong in the air, a great tackler and consistently keeps his concentration. He absolutely loves a challenge, but I think that can often mean he gets over excited and throws himself into unnecessary tackles.

England’s last five matches have witnessed an opposition centre-half go into the referees book on three occasions, including Schlotterbeck in the reverse fixture, back in June. 

The man with the whistle for this encounter is Danny Makkelie who is an experienced Dutch referee and so far this term, he is awarding an average of 3.40 yellow cards per game.

I’d be surprised if England didn’t try to respond to their recent poor outings by putting pressure on this German backline to create opportunities. That will mean Nico Schlotterbeck will want to sniff out danger early and given the frequency in which he has picked up cards on the international stage, I'll have a play on him going into the book at odds of 3/1.

Nico Schlotterbeck to be carded - 1pt @ 3/1