19:45 Tuesday

Portugal vs Spain Stats

  • An opposition right-hand sided defender has been booked in three of Spain's last four matches
  • Portugal just needs to avoid defeat in order to win League A Group 2
  • Only two of the last nine meetings saw both teams score

 

Portugal vs Spain Betting Tips:

Betting Tip: Danilo Pereira to be carded

I’ll be dipping into the prop markets for my first selection in this encounter. In Spain’s last five outings, three right-sided defenders saw a booking, with two of those occupying the centre-back spot. It seems quite likely that PSG man Danilo Pereira will be occupying that position and he’s a generous 15/4 to go into Daniele Orstao’s book.

Portugal are likely going to invite pressure by sitting back and hitting on the break as they only need a draw here. The 31 year old defender will have to cope with Ferran Torres drifting in off the flanks and playing around Alvaro Morata.

It’s a tall order for any defender and even though Pereira is not one to dive into a challenge, his positioning will need to be on point and if he has a lapse in concentration, he may find himself ‘taking one for the team’.

This one could turn into a chess match with both trying to gain advantage. This fixture has been a fairly feisty affair down the years with lot’s of blatant fouling. As such, I like the price on Danilo Pereira being carded.

Danilo Pereira to be carded - 1pt @ 15/4

Betting Tip: Both teams to score (No)

I mentioned above that this could be an incredibly tactical encounter. It’s interestingly poised and it remains to be seen how the hosts decide to approach this one. Fernando Santos’ side merely require a single point to top the group and with Spain requiring all three, logic would suggest the boss will want his side to capitalise on any periods of over-commitment from Spain.

Meetings between these two tend to be quite tense, as evident by the fact that only two of the last nine meetings have witnessed both teams hit the back of the net.

With all things considered, I'm not expecting a high-scoring match and when looking for value, I think the even money on at least one of these sides failing to score provides it.

Portugal have only lost once at home in Nations League history and that can give them confidence. I wouldn’t want to back them to win outright though. Despite the fact they would like nothing more than to secure a victory against Spain, they simply need to avoid defeat.

I’m expecting a low scoring affair and a ‘get the job done’ performance from A Seleção.

Both Teams to Score - No - 1pt @ 1/1