19:45 Friday

Hull City vs Luton Town Stats

  • No side is currently conceding more goals per game on average than Hull City (2.1)
  • Hull City have lost by two or more goals in their last four league games
  • Three of Luton Town’s four away matches have produced fewer than four cards

 

Hull vs Luton Tips

Betting Tip: Under 3.5 Cards

I’m dipping into the cards market for this one as I believe the price on this line is a little high. Hull City are in the top eight for yellow cards awarded with 20 in total, but just seven of those have come when playing in front of their home fans, an average of just 1.40 per match at the MKM Stadium.

Meanwhile, visitors Luton Town sit in the bottom four when it comes to total number of cards awarded and have been awarded just six yellows across their four road matches.

James Linington is the man with the whistle for this match and he’s awarded an average of 3.71 cards per game so far this season. However, of the seven matches in which he has officiated in all competitions so far this term, he has awarded fewer than four cards in four of them and I think could see another match where the unders land.

It’s always tricky to determine how games will pan out after an international break but I don't expect many bad challenges. The visitors are not an aggressive side and so I'll be siding with under 3.5 cards in total.

Under 3.5 Cards - 1.5pts

Betting Tip: Luton Town win

Prior to the international break, Hull City were on a poor run of four consecutive losses and the games do not get any easier as they welcome the Hatters. The visitors have the edge in recent meetings having won all of the last three clashes.

Nathan Jones’ men have not tasted defeat in five of their last six outings across all competitions and they will fancy their chances of adding another three points to their tally.

Hull City have managed just one win from their previous seven Championship outings and one of the main reasons is they simply do not know how to keep clean sheets. They have managed just one shutout across their 10 league fixtures so far and are conceding 2.1 goals per game on average, more than any other side in the league.

The visitors rank second for possession won in the final third and they can capitalise on inevitable mistakes from the Hull City backline. For my second pick, I’ll happily take an away win at 6/4.

Luton to win - 1pt