20:00 Wednesday

Chelsea vs AC Milan Stats

  • All five of AC Milan’s opponents on the road in Serie A and the Champions League have seen at least two cards
  • Both teams have scored in four of AC Milan’s five away games
  • Both teams have scored in eight of Chelsea’s last ten competitive home fixtures

 

Chelsea vs AC Milan Tips

Betting Tip: Both Teams to Score

This is the key clash in Group E and these next two matches could define both of their respective European journeys.

Chelsea have made a stuttering start to this edition of the Champions League having lost to Zagreb, which ultimately cost Thomas Tuchel his job, and followed that up with a 1-1 draw against RB Salzburg under the guidance of new boss Graham Potter.

This one proves to be another tough encounter as the hosts have failed to win nine of their previous 11 clashes with Italian opponents at any venue and AC Milan are a stern opposition.

Both of these outfits have a plethora of attacking talent at their disposal and it’s evident that they are both far more comfortable scoring goals than they are preventing them at the other end. They have both conceded in each of their first two Champions League matches and with over 2.5 goals being favoured by the market, I’ll happily have 1.5 points on goals at both ends being produced.

Both Teams to Score - 1.5pts @ 17/20

Betting Tip: Over 1.5 Chelsea Team Cards

I’m going into the cards markets on this one as a generous price is being offered for hosts Chelsea to pick up a couple of cards.

I’m a little surprised to see 5/6 being offered for Chelsea to see two or more cards. They’re already averaging 2.67 yellows per match on home soil in the league and they’re also averaging the second-highest average number of tackles per game.

Chelsea look to win the ball back immediately, but they may get frustrated as AC Milan are the third-highest fouled side per away game in Serie A and I think the visitors will look to utilise their ability to keep the ball, control the match and create goal-scoring opportunities whilst drawing plenty of fouls.

The sides that AC Milan face tend to play in an aggressive manner, as evident by the fact that all of their last five away opponents have received at least two cards in total.

Stefano Pioli witnessed his side secure last-gasp victory away at Empoli last time out in a game that featured a ridiculous three goals beyond the 92nd minute and that jubilant feeling can carry over to this one.

I’m expecting an exciting game, but I really like Chelsea to receive a couple of bookings here and will have another 1.5 point play.

Over 1.5 Chelsea Team Cards - 1.5pts @ 5/6