AC Milan vs Chelsea prediction, betting tips and odds brought to you by oddschecker football expert George Gamble.
AC Milan vs Chelsea Stats
- All five of Chelsea’s opponents away from home have committed 13 fouls or more
- Chelsea have lost seven of their previous 11 away games against Serie A opponents
- Both teams have scored in four of AC Milan’s previous six home matches
Betting Tip: Both Teams to Score
I backed both teams to score in the reverse fixture last week and was incredibly surprised that AC Milan were unable to get on the scoresheet. They had a couple of good opportunities that were squandered but Chelsea were well worth their lead.
However, AC Milan are a different prospect at the San Siro and I’ll get involved in this market once again. The Rossoneri have lost on home soil just once across their opening six matches, winning the other five and have been able to get on the scoresheet in each of those.
Meanwhile, Chelsea haven’t kept a clean sheet on the road since their first away trip to Everton at the beginning of the season. I personally thought Chelsea were dominant at Stamford Bridge last week and AC Milan really struggled to defend set-pieces as the Blues towered above them time and time again. I’m expecting a similar pattern as Graham Potter looks to extend his unbeaten run since taking charge.
AC Milan responded to last week’s defeat by beating Juventus at this venue over the weekend and in front of their extremely vocal home fans, they will prove a much sterner test for Chelsea this time around.
I think Chelsea are the better side but the San Siro can be a hostile place to go and I think the hosts will continue their scoring run on home turf. I’ll be taking both teams to score once again.
Betting Tip: AC Milan Over 12.5 Fouls Committed
There were fouls in abundance in the reverse meeting last week as these two combined to produce a fouls count of 29 in total.
AC Milan were accountable for 14 of those and I think they’re a great price to commit a similar number in this clash. They’re even money to commit 13 or more in total and when you consider there will be moments that Chelsea will dominate and the fact that all five of the visitors' opponents, when they’re away from home, have committed at least 13 fouls in total, it makes that price really stand out.
The referee is German Daniel Siebert and he hasn’t been shy when it comes to blowing for free-kicks, awarding an average of 24 fouls per game in total.
Stefano Pioli’s side have somewhat struggled defensively on occasion and I really like them to cover this foul line.