Champions League predictions and betting tips brought to you by Jimmy The Punt.
Salzburg v Chelsea - Under 2.5 Goals
The Blues are yet to taste defeat in the Graham Potter era, eight games in, five wins and three draws, scoring 14 goals, conceding just three and keeping five clean sheets.
However, this does not tell the full story, as the underlying data suggests there has been some regression. Despite collecting four points from their trips to Villa Park and Brentford, keeping two clean sheets, the Blues shipped an xG of 4.12. Then, conceded a last gasp equaliser against Manchester United on Saturday evening.
The Potter era has seen a distinct lack of goals, with unders clicking in each of the last four games and 63% of the eight games, including the reverse.
Borussia Dortmund vs Man City - Jude Bellingham Anytime Goalscorer
Jude Bellingham has always been highly regarded but is establishing himself as one of the best midfielders in the world with the form he is in this campaign.
The former Birmingham man scored when these sides met at the Etihad in the reverse fixture, stooping to deflect Marco Reus half volley beyond Ederson. This was one of eight goals he has bagged this season, already beating his tally of six from last season.
Bellingham has scored in each of his four Champions League appearances and bagged five times in his last six appearances, so the 8/1 about him to continue in this vein looks way too big.
Benfica vs Juventus - Nicolas Otamendi Card
Srdjan Jovanovic takes charge of this fixture, the referee has been a bit card happy in Europe this campaign, brandishing 15 in his three UCL appearances.
Cards have been rife for Benfica during their UCL campaign with the Portuguese giants picking up 10 in their last three games. In the reverse of this fixture, the clash saw seven bookings, which is why the card market is worth delving into here.
At 9/4, Nicolas Otamendi’s price to be carded certainly appeals. The former City defender has accumulated a staggering 130 cards over the course of his career, 27 of which coming since he returned to Portugal.
Since signing for Benfica, Otamendi has averaged 0.35 cards per 90, picking up three cards in 13 UCL appearances.