20:00 Wednesday

Ajax vs Liverpool Stats

  • Ajax’s Champions League group stage games have averaged exactly five goals per match
  • Both teams have scored in three of Liverpool’s four Champions League group stage matches
  • Liverpool have lost four of their seven away fixtures across all competitions

 

Ajax vs Liverpool Tips: 

Betting Tip: Over 3.5 goals

Anything but a win here will see the hosts likely dropping into the Europa League as they sit six points adrift of second-placed Liverpool in Group A. Ajax have lost their last three group games despite managing to hit the back of the net across all of those defeats.

This should be a fairly frantic match and the hosts will be desperate to improve after playing back-to-back matches against Napoli in this competition, conceding a total of ten goals whilst scoring three themselves.

However, Liverpool like to play a high-defensive line and Ajax are superb at creating opportunities via through balls. Dusan Tadic and Steven Bergwijn look set to occupy places on each flank and they can find a lot of joy running in behind and helping to exploit the space in behind the defence.

However, as already shown on many occasions, they’re vulnerable when it comes to counter-attacks. But they need to go for it and get the win which I think means we’ll see goals here. 

Three of the hosts four group stage games have produced four or more goals and with the situation Alfred Schreuder’s men find themselves in, I like the odds on over 3.5 goals in total.

Over 3.5 Goals - 1pt @ 13/10

Betting Tip: Ajax win & BTTS

This is somewhat of a longshot, but I have to lean towards the side that have no choice but to go out and play for the win.

The visitors were involved in a shock loss away to bottom side Nottingham Forest last time out and looked surprisingly average. They looked like a side that were leggy and lacked the usual intensity we expect from them.

Injuries have been the catalyst behind their poor performances and Jurgen Klopp will be unable to call on the likes of Joel Matip, Luis Diaz and Diogo Jota here.

Youngsters Curtis Jones, Harvey Elliott and Fabio Carvalho have all impressed this season, but it’s clear to see that they miss players who have experience and can drag them out of tough spots.

Ajax are desperate to chase down Liverpool for the second qualification spot, but if they’re to stand a chance then they need to secure victory here. I do think both teams will score, as they have done in all of the hosts last eight outings, but i’ll side with Liverpool’s away day blues continuing as Ajax emerge victorious at 5/1.

Ajax to win & BTTS - 0.5pts @ 5/1