19:00 Friday

Argentina scraped past Australia to reach the quarter-final and they’ll be desperate to make it to the semi-final at the expense of the Netherlands. Louis van Gaal is a tactical genius, but this Dutch defence is yet to face an attack with the calibre of La Albiceleste.

Netherlands vs Argentina Stats

  • Netherlands have conceded at least 13 shots in all but one of their World Cup matches so far, with only Qatar failing to cover that line
  • Argentina have hit at least 13 shots in three of their four World Cup matches, only failing against Mexico
  • Jurrien Timber has committed 12 fouls across his last three appearances

 

Netherlands vs Argentina Prediction

Betting Tip: Argentina over 12.5 shots

Argentina squeezed past Australia by a 2-1 scoreline to make it to the quarter-final and now take on Louis van Gaal and his Netherlands side. La Albiceleste got off to the worst possible start when they lost their opening match 2-1 to Saudi Arabia, but that appeared to stoke the fire as they’ve gone on to win every match since.

They rank fourth in shots taken per match and given i am not convinced by this Dutch backline, I like the look of Argentina covering a shots line. I was surprised to see the line as low as 11.5 but I certainly see value considering I wouldn’t be surprised to see them hit 15 or more. There is also a fairly big price discrepancy with Skybet offering just 8/11 for Lionel Scaloni’s side hitting 13 or more shots.

The Netherlands have looked less than convincing at the back and do concede plenty of shooting opportunities. The only opponent they have faced so far this tournament that hasn’t hit at least 13 shots was hosts Qatar, but you don’t need me to tell you Argentina boasts much more firepower.

The line is too low for me and I'll happily have a couple of points on Argentina covering this shots line in what could be a close match.

Argentina over 12.5 shots - 2pts

Betting Tip: Jurrien Timber to be carded

The Netherlands look set to stick with a back three with Jurrien Timber playing the right-hand side and covering for Denzel Dumfries as he advances further forward. He could be left a little bit exposed on occasion and considering how many fouls he makes, he looks a good option to go into the referees book.

Across his last three matches in this position, he has committed a hefty 12 fouls in total and I would be very surprised if he doesn’t commit a fair few here as well given the opposition.

Three of the four opposition that Argentina have faced at this tournament has seen a right-sided defender go into the book and with the Netherlands likely playing on the back foot for large portions of this clash, I really like the 17/2 available for the Ajax defender to be shown a card by referee Antonio Miguel Mateu Lahoz.

Jurrien Timber to be carded - 0.5pts

Netherlands vs Argentina Results

Date Result Competition
09/07/2014 Argentina 0-0 Netherlands World Cup
21/06/2006 Netherlands 0-0 Argentina World Cup
12/02/2003 Netherlands 1-0 Argentina International Friendly

 

Netherlands vs Argentina Team News

Netherlands:

  • Netherlands should have no injury concerns coming into this game

 

Argentina:

  • Papu Gomez sprained his ankle in the win over Australia and had to come off, but should recover in time for this game
  • Angel Di Maria didn't take part in that game against Australia, owing to a thigh injury he sustained against Poland, but he should be back for this game, though Julian Alvarez may maintain his place in the starting lineup after scoring the winner on Saturday

 

Netherlands vs Argentina Lineups

Predicted lineups are brought to you by WhoScored.com.

Netherlands

Noppert, Aké, Dijk, Timber, Blind, Jong, Roon, Dumfries, Klaassen, Depay, Gakpo

Argentina

Martínez, Acuña, Otamendi, Romero, Molina, Allister, Fernández, Paul, Gómez, Messi, Álvarez

Netherlands vs Argentina Score Prediction:

Netherlands 1-1 Argentina