20:00 Saturday

Arsenal are five points behind Liverpool in the race for the Premier League but they can cut the gap to just two points with a win over Newcastle. Eddie Howe’s side beat Arsenal earlier in the season but a victory at the Emirates has eluded them in recent times.

Arsenal vs Newcastle Stats

  • Arsenal have the 2nd highest xG in the Premier League with an average of 2.05 per game.
  • The Gunners are unbeaten in their last 12 matches against Newcastle at the Emirates.
  • Newcastle have kept just one clean sheet away from home in the Premier League this season.


Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction

Tired legs could be a factor for Arsenal after their Champions League round of 16 clash with Porto midweek. They failed to create any significant chances and couldn’t muster a single shot on target as they stumbled to a 1-0 defeat.

Prior to that result, Arsenal looked deadly in front of goal in 2024. They have scored three goals one more in four of their five Premier League matches since the turn of the year with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

Arteta knows his side cannot afford a dip in form if they are to emerge victorious in the title race. His side squandered a reasonable lead to surrender the title to Manchester City last season. They also have Liverpool to compete with in this campaign.

Newcastle have struggled to hit the heights of last season but they are still in contention for a place in Europe as we approach the final few months of the season. The Magpies are unbeaten in five competitive matches since the 3-2 home defeat against Manchester City.

Eddie Howe has had to deal with a wealth of injuries this season and it had undoubtedly had an impact on their league position. Newcastle have been without an out-and-out centre forward in their last couple of matches but Alexander Isak could be fit to return to the side here.

The Magpies’ recent matches have seen plenty of goals. Their last 10 matches across all competitions have seen an average of 4.2 goals. Newcastle have also scored two or more in their last five games on the road. However, Eddie Howe’s side have been conceding 2.67 goals on average in their six league matches in 2024.

Thanks to Newcastle’s shaky defence, we are backing Arsenal to have at least 17 shots in the match with Unibet.

Arsenal are having an average of 19.2 shots per Premier League game in this calendar year. Arteta will have had stern words for his attackers after the poor showing in Portugal and the Spaniard has proven he is good at getting a response from his players during his tenure.

The Gunners are averaging 18 shots per league game at the Emirates this season. Their recent numbers at home to Newcastle are also strong. They have hit the required mark for this bet to land on the last four occasions they have hosted Newcastle.

Newcastle have faced the four other sides currently in the top five along with Arsenal in a way matches this season. They are conceding an average of 20.75 shots in those matches.

Tip: Over 16.5 Shots for Arsenal @ 10/13 Unibet (1pt)

Over 16.5 Shots For Arsenal - 1pt

Arsenal vs Newcastle Results

Date Result Competition
04/11/2023 Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal Premier League
07/05/2023 Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal Premier League
03/01/2023 Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle Premier League
16/05/2022 Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal Premier League
27/11/2021 Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle Premier League
02/05/2021 Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal Premier League


Arsenal vs Newcastle Lineups

Arsenal vs Newcastle predicted lineups brought to you by WhoScored.com. 

Arsenal Predicted Lineup vs Newcastle

Raya, Kiwior, Magalhães, Saliba, White, Havertz, Rice, Ødegaard, Martinelli, Trossard, Saka

Newcastle Predicted Lineup vs Arsenal

Dúbravka, Burn, Botman, Schär, Trippier, Miley, Guimarães, Longstaff, Barnes, Gordon, Almirón

Arsenal vs Newcastle Correct Score

Arsenal 3-2 Newcastle