20:00 Saturday

Real Madrid To Win

Real Madrid deserve their favourites tag coming into this one. They had a tougher path to the final in the knockout stages and they are a side that have no equal in the Champions League.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side are unbeaten in 47 matches across all competitions coming into this one. They have 113 goals on that run and have had plenty of time to prepare for this showdown with the La Liga title sewn up for several weeks.

Over 9.5 Corners

These side’s matches in the Champions League rank highly in terms of corners so we are backing over 9.5 in this one.

Only Napoli’s matches in this competition have seen more corners than Dortmund’s. The German side’s games have seen an average of 12.08. This rises to a whopping 14.67 if we only include the data from their six European matches played away from Signal Iduna Park. There have been 10 or more corners in five of those games.

Real Madrid’s Champions League matches have seen slightly less corners with an average of 11.58. Nevertheless, that’s still the sixth most. The average number of corners per Champions League game this season is 9.95 so we should hit the required mark in the final.

Dortmund slumped to a 5th-place finish in the Bundesliga this season. Their performances have been much better in the Champions League but they will need to find another gear in order to get the better of Los Blancos. Edin Terzic’s men have done exceptionally well to get to this stage but Real Madrid to get the job done in 90 minutes is our bet for this one.

Over 1.5 Fouls For Julian Ryerson

Julian Ryerson is set to start at right-back for Borussia Dortmund. This will put him in direct opposition with Vinicius Junior. Real Madrid as a team are attempting 10.33 dribbles per European game this season and the Brazilian is a big part of that. He ranks in the top 2% for progressive carries when compared with all wingers, attacking midfielders and forwards across Europe’s top five leagues. Therefore, it looks set to be a bust evening for Ryerson.

Joshua Kimmich played right-back for Dortmund’s German rivals against Real Madrid in their last Champions League match. Ryerson’s stats also make for good reading. He is averaging one foul per game in this competition this season. The full-back also made a foul in the second leg of the semi-final against PSG.