Football Form Labs have two strong picks for this big game in the Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund - Saturday 17:30, BT Sport Europe
Both these sides drew in the Champions League on Tuesday night as Andre Schurrle netted a late equaliser for Dortmund against Real Madrid, while Leverkusen were the victims of a late goal at Monaco as they let their lead slip in the 94th minute. Leverkusen have started poorly domestically as they’re down in 10th at the moment, while Dortmund are 2nd, three points behind Bayern.
Leverkusen’s struggles have largely been on the road as they’ve now won six of seven unbeaten home games going back to the end of last season. Their record when hosting Bayern and Dortmund is W1-D4-L1 since 2013/14 in games that have tended to be low-scoring as five saw fewer than three goals, while three of the last four saw fewer than two and all six were level at the break.
Since three of Dortmund’s five trips to sides between 3rd and 7th last term saw fewer than three goals, we’re backing Under 2.5 Goals and because Dortmund have been level at the break in five of their last nine on the road, we’re also backing the half-time draw and wouldn’t put anyone off the Draw/Draw Half Time/Full Time double at 6.5.