Another gameweek, another horrific display by Schalke. This time throwing away a 1-0 lead to succumb to relegation-battling Fortuna Dusseldorf, and it’s hard to see how Schalke climb out of the rut they find themselves in.

There are plenty of ways one can interpret their clash with Werder Bremen. While Bremen have a fairly abysmal defensive record (conceding 59 in 27 games), their back-to-back clean sheets against Freiburg and free-scoring Borussia Monchengladbach is hugely encouraging for Florian Kohfeldt, who will know full well that maintaining this defensive improvement is his side’s only chance of surviving.

A result looks tough to call here, as neither side are particularly adept at sticking the ball in the net, although under 2.5 goals at 6/4 looks a really good price in my eyes.

Schalke’s defence has been really poor since the league’s resumption, while they haven’t looked too clever going forward either, but Bremen will doubtless continue prioritising solidity and Kohfeldt will aim to build on his side’s defensive improvement to ensure the game isn’t lost; when your side has only mustered 29 goals, you simply cannot be charitable at the back in games like this.

David Wagner’s men have only scored 34 goals themselves, and with confidence at rock bottom, Bremen will quietly fancy this.  

In what I can imagine to be a cat-and-mouse encounter, under 2.5 goals at 6/4 looks a solid play.

Under 2.5 goals - 1.5pts @ 6/4

I’m also going to back a goalless first half at 13/5.

10 of Schalke’s matches this season have been goalless at the break, while Bremen have seen six goalless first periods.

For the reasons outlined above I’m not expecting a goal-fest, and you have to feel 13/5 for the score to be 0-0 at half-time, considering this is a fixture involving the fifth-lowest scorers and the joint-lowest scorers, represents great value.

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0-0 half-time score - 1pt @ 13/5