19:30 - FC Koln v RB Leipzig

Koln’s unpredictable streak continued on Wednesday, as they followed-up two madcap 2-2 draws with a red card-infused 3-1 defeat at Hoffenheim, where Mark Uth missed a second penalty in as many matches.

With relegation a very unlikely outcome for Koln at this stage, I expect them to continue playing with the handbrake off, which will lead to plenty more exciting encounters down the line.

One such game could be around the corner on Monday, as Markus Gisdol prepares to welcome a goal-rich Leipzig side to RheinEnergieStadion.

The title was realistically out of Leipzig’s reach since their 1-1 draw with Freiburg a couple of weeks ago, but their 2-2 draw with Hertha—which was pretty fortunate in the end, as the visitors outplayed them for large periods—keeps them right in the thick of a top four battle with Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach.

This is the sort of fixture which will likely see fireworks, and therefore I’m backing Leipzig to win and both teams to score.

Koln have defended dreadfully since the league’s resumption, and that spells trouble against a Leipzig side who have netted 70 times this season.

However, only Gladbach and Frankfurt have seen more games end with both teams score than Leipzig (64%), and the attacking prowess of Uth (barring his recent penalty record) and Jhon Cordoba will pose a constant threat to Peter Gulacsi and his defence.

Koln playing at home is largely irrelevant, so Leipzig to win in an exciting encounter looks a strong possibility.

Leipzig + BTTS - 1pt @ 7/4