Union Berlin secured a much needed point against Mainz to stop the rot on Wednesday. While a home point against the side in 15th doesn’t seem like a great deal, Urs Fischer’s men played the best part of the game with 10 men, and avoiding defeat ensured their run of three defeats ended, as well as maintaining a three point cushion over Mainz.

As for Gladbach, they were perhaps a little fortunate to escape with a 0-0 draw against struggling Werder Bremen, and they’re now only in the top four virtue of goal difference.

Gladbach will still expect to win this game. Union have only scored 33 goals this season, and while they’ve stuttered a little of late, they are still a side which is packed with attacking talent.

From what I’ve seen of Union, if they’re to survive, it’ll very much be a limp-over-the-finishing-line job, with their home form severely handicapped due to the absence of their usually-brilliant fans, while they didn’t look particularly clever on the road versus rivals Hertha, either.

Despite this being played at Borussia-Park, I still lean towards Gladbach here. Union have looked lacklustre since the league’s resumption, and while they showed some bottle to hold on to their point against Mainz (that said, their goal came in very fortuitous circumstances, with Mainz ‘keeper Florian Muller at fault), they’ll need more than that to beat a demonstrably stronger Gladbach outfit.

My tip for this one is Gladbach to win and under 4.5 goals in the game.

25 of Union’s 28 games this season have seen fewer than five goals, while for Gladbach it’s 23.

Union’s lack of penetration will cost them here, as Gladbach return to winning ways.

Borussia Monchengladbach + Under 4.5 - 2pts @ 19/20