Our football expert Ryan Elliott has two tips for Wednesday's Bundesliga relegation six-pointer, priced at 9/4 and 15/2.
We have just the solitary Bundesliga game to sink our teeth into this Wednesday, but it’s a huge one.
While Werder Bremen have been embroiled in a relegation battle for pretty much the entirety of the season—with hope looking all but lost just a couple of weeks ago—Florian Kohfeldt has guided his side to seven points from their last three games, keeping clean sheets in every one, and all of a sudden, real belief is coursing through the veins of his players.
The points are very, very welcome, but the three clean sheets, considering Bremen previously boasted the worst defence in the league, will feel like a real base from which to build from.
As for Frankfurt, they’ve found themselves in free-fall since the league’s resumption, up until a massive 2-1 win at Wolfsburg last time out, totally defying the form book, which opened up a five-point cushion between Adi Hutter’s men and the relegation play-off.
What makes this game so interesting in my eyes is that it looks absolutely impossible to call.
Bremen’s defence has tightened up immeasurably, but they’re still struggling to find the net with regularity, while Frankfurt have conceded 12 goals in their last four games, and yet they’ve still scored on every outing since the restart (eight in total).
While Bremen’s games are slowly seeing less and less goalmouth action (something that will more than suit Kohfeldt), Frankfurt’s matches have generally been full of carnage, so it’s hard to work out how this one pans out.
As a result, I’m instead going to dip my toes into a few markets with bigger prices on offer – starting with Martin Hinteregger to score at any time.
Though he’s a centre-back, Hinteregger has shown he’s more than capable of finding the net this season—his brace against Bayern a prime example—and considering Werder’s much-improved defence, Frankfurt will be looking at set-pieces as key goalscoring opportunities, particularly with the dangerous Filip Kostić standing over the ball – with nine assists to his name.
Werder will aim to frustrate Frankfurt, and this will lead to extra importance on set-pieces, bringing Frankfurt’s top-scorer, the eight-goal Hinteregger, into the game.
Next, I’m backing Bremen left-back Marco Friedl to be shown a card.
The 22-year-old has been shown eight yellow cards this season, and with Frankfurt likely to be doing most of the attacking, he’ll be a busy man on Wednesday.
Furthermore, while the game is behind closed doors, there will still be some semblance of needle between the sides considering it’s a relegation six-pointer, which is always conducive to cards being dished out.
I’ve been surprised at just how many cards we’ve seen since the resumption, and hopefully Friedl continues the trend.