Bayern Munich v Rostov - Tuesday 19:45, BT Sport Extra
The transition from Guardiola to Ancelotti looks to have been a seamless one at Bayern as they’ve won both their Bundesliga games by an aggregate of 8-0 and also beat Dortmund 2-0 in the Super Cup meaning they’re yet to concede a goal in a competitive game under the Italian. They’ll fancy their chances of extending that record against Rostov, who are competing in the Champions League for the first time after they finished 2nd in the Russian Premier League last term, but they did manage to beat Anderlecht and Ajax to make it to the group stages.
Robert Lewandowski has started the season in fine form with four goals in two league games and will no doubt regard this as an excellent opportunity to get a head start on the likes of Ronaldo and Messi in the race to become top scorer in this competition. As a result, we’re going to back the Pole to score two or more goals.
Bayern have won 11 of 12 unbeaten Champions League games at the Allianz in the last couple of seasons while keeping seven clean sheets and if we only look at their group stage matches, they’ve scored an average of 3.5 goals in their 12 home games since 2012/13, leading at the break in 11 of these games and keeping seven clean sheets.
This will undoubtedly be the biggest test Rostov have faced in their history and since Bayern won all three of their home group stages matches last term by at least four goals, we’re going to back them -3 on the handicap to continue their excellent start under Ancelotti.