PSG v Arsenal - Tuesday 19:45, BT Sport 2
PSG’s quest for European success saw them appoint Unai Emery as manager over the summer after winning a third Europa League title in a row with Sevilla last term. However, it’s not been plain sailing for him in France so far as he’s lost Ibrahimovic and Luiz, suffered an early defeat against Monaco and could only manage a draw at home to St Etienne on Friday night. The Gunners also started slowly but have won their last two and things are starting to look much better for Wenger’s men, with Mustafi and Perez arriving late in the window.
Since 2012/13, the first season after the money came in, PSG have had a W13-D6-L1 record at the Parc des Princes in the Champions League, with Barca the only team to beat them. They’ve scored at least twice in 14 of these games, but managed just six clean sheets and as a result 13 of these saw more than two goals, with both teams netting in 14. With plenty of attacking talent at their disposal, they’ve tended to adopt a ‘we’ll score more than you’ policy while not being too concerned about things defensively, which is perhaps why they’ve come unstuck in the latter stages of the competition against the top teams.
Arsenal’s road games in the Champions League last term were also full of goals as all four saw more than two strikes as the Gunners shipped 10 goals, though two of their three defeats were against Barca and Bayern. Indeed, the Gunners have lost seven of their 11 trips to sides we have ranked above them (as PSG are) in the Champions League since 2008/09. They trailed at the break in each of these defeats and the last six were all by more than one goal, often due to their tactical naivety as they tried to match these European powerhouses rather than adopt a more cautious approach.
We think it could be the same again from Wenger’s men here and as a result are backing PSG/PSG Half-Time and also PSG -1 on the Asian Handicap, which means that if PSG win by more than one our bet’s a winner, while if they win by just the single goal we get our money back.