Tom Love has two selections for Man City vs Lyon this evening in the Champions League
Match Result and BTTS
This is the most one-sided of the quarter finals according to the bookmakers with Manchester City chalked up as short as 1/6 to win in the 90 minutes. Is that a little disrespectful to Lyon? Perhaps. If a team makes it this far they have to be taken seriously. That been said this is a Manchester City side hell bent on securing a European trophy that they’ve so long sought after. They will meet a scary Bayern Munich in the semi-final if they do progress here which will be no mean feat.
Les Gones have the worst underlying process of any of the remaining teams, it’s actually a negative expected goals process for them. Having said that they now have a fully fit Memphis Depay as well as Jeff Reine-Adelaide. I was impressed with their dynamic and young midfield trio of Houssam Aouar, Bruno Guimaraes and Maxence Caqueret it will be interesting to see if they can recreate their superb performance against Juventus against arguably a stronger midfield.
As far as the betting goes it does prove quite difficult to get too much value given how short City are. I am happy to have a point on City to win but also concede at 7/4 though. Every team has scored in this lot of quarter finals and given the one-legged nature it forces teams to come out when they’re down. Lyon do have attacking threats even off the bench and Man City aren’t wholly convincing at the back, giving up a lot of big chances this season.
It’s also hard to turn down the even-money offering on the electric Raheem Sterling to score anytime. The England international has been simply superb in this competition with 6 goals already. He has a fantastic knack of getting into positions that have a high probability of scoring, often coming in at the back post to meet fizzed in crosses. With no Sergio Aguero the goalscoring burden falls largely on Sterling and Gabriel Jesus. I think given his record and the fact his team are so short to win, the evens represents a decent price.