Ajax v Liverpool prediction & betting tips brought to you by football expert Tom Love, including a 9/2 tip.
Ajax vs Liverpool
How will Liverpool fare without Van Dijk?
- Daley Blind has been booked in 2 of his 5 Eredivisie games this season
- Liverpool won by exactly 1 goal in 14 of their premier league games last season
TIP 1: Daley Blind to be carded
Two of the semi-finalists from 2018-19 have been pitted together in group D for this season’s group stage and it looks like one of the more attractive and intriguing quartets which is completed by Atalanta and Midtjylland.
That Ajax team that blew most before them in 18-19 have predictably been shipped off to bigger and better things but there’s a new roster of talented youngsters coming through in Amsterdam. The likes of Ryan Gravenberch, Perr Schurrs, Antony, Mohammed Kudus and Edson Alvarez are some of the next bunch who could make their own name in this competition.
Having said that, it’s a team that is relatively unproven on the European stage. Dusan Tadic, Andre Onana, Daley Blind and Nicolas Tagliafico may remain at the club but they’ve not set the world alight in the Eredivisie thus far. De Godenzonen racked up a 5-1 win over Heerenveen on Sunday but the scoreline flattered them for sure.
Fabinho looks like he will have to fill the Virgil Van Dijk mantle after his unfortunate injury in the Merseyside derby. Jurgen Klopp will hope Thiago will be fine to play that holding role usually occupied by the Brazilian, it isn’t the worst replacement! Most importantly, it looks like the front three will all be fit for the trip to Holland and they can hurt the likes of Daley Blind at the back with their pace.
That’s a theme that I’ll head to for one of the fancies in this one. Former Manchester United defender Blind is getting on a bit now and is no match for the pace of Mo Salah and Sadio Mane. The Dutch international is available to back at 9/2 to have his name taken in the book and that could be worth a small play for interest.
TIP 2: Liverpool to win by exactly one goal
The bookies seem to have priced up the goals markets about right with the line set at 3.5 and the 1X2 markets look bang on too so I’ll chance a 16/5 shot to try get a bit more of a chunkier price onside. Liverpool did things by fine margins quite often last season, especially on the road where they were slightly less convincing.
To get bigger than 3/1 on the Reds to win by exactly 1 goal on the winning margin market does make plenty of appeal. It landed in 14 of their premier league wins last season and Ajax’s only defeat this season came by a single goal too.