Wolves v Burton - Saturday 15:00

There's no end in sight to the fun and games at Molineux with more exotic signings arriving after a month in which Walter Zenga fashioned a vibrant start with virtually no preparation. The former Inter Milan keeper is getting a tune out of his chosen 11 every week, so the Old Gold have to be fancied for a top-six finish given the options he now has.

Wanderers have dominated all but one of their first five matches to boast an overall 61.6 per cent shot ratio - the second best in the league - and the second-half performance in the 3-1 win at Birmingham was a fine example of the goalmouth action we can expect when they achieve some fluidity and cohesion with their attacking play.

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As such, there's some mileage in the 17/5 quote about this game producing over 3.5 goals. Quite why the market has a total goals expectancy of just 2.17 is anyone's guess. There's nothing in the respective shot data so far to suggest this game should fall below average. Burton's seven games in all competitions have produced 29 goals, more than four per game.

Presumably, the Brewers are being tagged on reputation, going back to the days when Gary Rowett and Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink were in charge and clean sheets were the norm. Nigel Clough isn’t nearly as precise in his approach but what he lacks in tactical detail he evokes in spirit - and that usually means goals.

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Over 3.5 goals - 1pt @ 18/5