Derby v Ipswich - Tuesday 19:45
Ipswich have avoided defeat on eight successive visits to Pride Park - five wins - and they look unmissable value to beat a Derby side low on both creativity and confidence. Take Mick McCarthy’s men to finally cast some positive light on a season that has, so far, delivered more questions than answers, and back the away win at 15/4.
The Tractor Boys have taken eight points from six matches so far - two wins, two draws and two defeats - which is lower mid-table form over the course of a season and their shot data paints an identical picture. But McCarthy teams are notoriously dogged and with a bit more luck on questionable decisions, they could quite feasibly have doubled that points tally.
Whether the glass is half-empty or half-full at Portman Road, there’s no such ambiguity at the iPro. Miserable is the only way to describe Derby’s start to the season. The Rams have scored just one goal in six games - and that was against the run of play at Preston. Against Newcastle on Saturday, they mustered just two shots on target, bringing the tally for the season to 18.
Nigel Pearson believes calm heads are necessary to turn the tide and won’t be doing anything drastic in his search for a solution. Continuity is a big part of his philosophy and a major strength when things are going well. It also to bet with some confidence on this game following a familiar pattern, and the the 16/5 available on Ipswich to keep a clean sheet is over-priced.