Crawley v Bristol Rovers - Saturday 12:00

It’s not in Darrell Clarke’s nature to give up on anything but when you breed a cup-match approach to league games that takes you on a promotion charge season after season, it tends to foster a mood that is flat by comparison when the actual cup games come around. Take the 10/3 on Crawley to do what Chesham did to the Pirates last season, and Tranmere the season before.

Crawley are one of the worst teams in League Two, according to the shot data, but their lofty position in the table (10th) shows they are no mugs. Their game-management when protecting a lead (W6 D2 L1) is excellent and they’ve only conceded the first goal once in eight matches at home, while Rovers have fallen behind in ten of their last 12 matches.

Usually, the Pirates summon up a determined response and they’ve rescued a staggering 19 points in those ten instances but their overall record in cup competitions under Clarke suggests the same level of desire isn’t there once their league campaign gathered pace. Their midweek win over Fleetwood lifted them up to fifth in the table and promotion is undoubtedly their priority.

In each of those past two seasons, one goal has been enough to end Rovers’ involvement in this competition and if a team from Level 7 of the English football pyramid can grab a lead and close it out at the Memorial Stadium, as Chesham did last year, then Dermot Drummy’s men definitely can. The 1-0 correct score is 13/1.

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Crawley to win - 1pt @ 10/3
Crawley 1-0 correct score - 1pt @ 13/1