Deportivo La Coruna v Sporting Gijon - Saturday 19:45, Sky Sports 5
After winning on the opening day of the season, Deportivo have failed to win again and as a result find themselves in 16th. They haven’t finished higher than 15th since 2009/10, so they look set to have yet another relegation battle on their hands. Gijon also narrowly avoided the drop last term and are in 14th at the moment having lost their last three, but those were in tough fixtures at Atletico and Celta, while they lost at home to Barca last time out.
Depor have now lost six of their last seven at home, having only lost three of 15 prior to that. Furthermore, when hosting bottom-six sides they’re W2-D3-L5 since 2014/15 as they managed just one clean sheet in these games and trailed at the break in half.
Indeed, since Gijon have lost only three of their last seven on the road, and two of those defeats were against Atletico and Barca, Depor look too short in this one at 1.95. However, Gijon have won just one of their last 18 on the road and because the stalemate was the most common outcome in Depor’s home games last term, we’re backing the draw.