Malaga v Sporting Gijon - Friday 19:45, Sky Sports 5

Malaga were beaten 4-2 at Atletico Madrid last weekend to drop down to 11th and though Gijon managed a draw at home to Sevilla, they’ve picked up just two points from their last seven and find themselves in 17th, where they ended up last term.

Malaga have won their last three at home meaning their home record since the start of last season is now W11-D7-L6, but that doesn’t suggest much value at 1.8. When hosting bottom-six finishers last term or those currently down there this season they’re W5-D3-L0 though, and on the surface their odds are fair. However, they have several players missing, with Charles, Keko and Weligton all injured and Chory Castro suspended. Malaga have failed to win any of their last eight games (W0-D4-L4) when winger Castro failed to start as they scored just five times and that looks to have pushed the value in Gijon’s favour.

Gijon have lost 14 of their 24 road games since the start of last season but when travelling to sides between 8th and 13th they’re a decent W2-D3-L2. Indeed, since Gijon have drawn five of their last nine on the road we like the Draw the most in the match outcome markets as we’d need closer to evens to be tempted by Malaga.

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Draw - 1pt @ 3.8