Atletico Madrid v Espanyol - Saturday 19:45, Sky Sports 2

Atletico Madrid’s form has dipped of late with three defeats in their last five matches, though a comfortable win away at second-from-bottom Osasuna last time out has moved them back into the top four. They face a tougher examination this week against mid-table Espanyol who are enjoying a rich run of form, unbeaten in seven having won three of their last four. Remarkably, Quique Sanchez Flores’ side have drawn the first half in seven of their last eight matches and we’re backing this one to be level at the interval too. Atletico have only lost the first half in three of their last 44 matches, drawing at the break in 11 of their last 17.

Atletico’s recent matches have been higher scoring than usual, with at least three goals in five of their last seven across all competitions. However, we think they may revert to type in this fixture given their opponents stingy defense. Espanyol’s form somewhat resembles binary code as they’ve kept a clean sheet in six of their last seven top-flight outings, including each of their last three on the road, whilst seven of the last eight matches between these two have had fewer than three goals, with five seeing exactly one strike.

At odds-against, we’re siding with under 2.5 goals, though we wouldn’t want to put anyone off backing exactly one goal at 5.9 either.

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Half-time Draw - 1pt @ 2.69
Under 2.5 Goals - 1pt @ 2.14
Exactly One Goal - 1pt @ 4.33