Bury v Port Vale - Saturday 15:00
Port Vale have had a remarkable start to the season, taking ten points from a possible 15 to sit fourth - impressive considering they were most people's nap for relegation before a ball was kicked. Bruno Ribeiro, it seems, isn't quite the mug his track record makes him out to be, although it's still early days in the season to be drawing any lasting conclusions.
Clean sheets have been instrumental to their progress, the Valiants set up in a way that keeps chances at a premium for both sides. But they have been on the ropes in periods of games they ultimately went on to win, when one suspects they might have been ill-equipped to fight back had they fallen behind, as was the case when they conceded at Swindon.
Bury were at crisis point when 3-0 down at half time against Walsall last weekend but a stirring second half fightback to draw 3-3 could be the key to an upsurge in fortunes and this could easily be a game that redresses the balance of randomness if the hosts bag that all-important breakthrough. Take the 7/1 available on Bury to win 1-0.
A low-scoring encounter should be anticipated. My ratings generate a total goals expectancy of just 2.09 and there's also value in the 23/10 about under 1.5 goals Under 1.5 goals. It’s a bet that has copped in both of Vale’s away games, while Bury’s last home game against Oldham was also settled by a solitary strike.