Peterborough v Scunthorpe - Tuesday 19:45

Such is Peterborough’s long-standing association with goalscoring action, the layers never know how to react whenever they go through a period of not much happening. However, based on shot data since the beginning of September, this match has a total goals expectancy of 2.31, around 0.3 goals shorter than the market.

That’s mostly down to Scunthorpe and their recent transition from cavalier contenders issuing statements of intent to a gritty frontrunner. Now, the Iron have a position to protect - a six-point cushion at the top of the table - and it’s only natural that should go about their business with a higher degree of uncertainty avoidance.

But a similar logic is applicable to Peterborough. For all of their attacking potential, Grant McCann has quickly identified a respectable goals against column as crucial to mounting a genuine promotion charge. Only once in the last 11 league outings have Posh conceded twice in the same game, and their last two matches have been 1-0 wins.

However, Graham Alexander’s men have also edged their last two matches with a solitary strike, so the Scunthorpe 1-0 correct score has obvious appeal at 10/1. Either way, we should expect the Iron to prioritise a clean sheet and therein lies a staple bet at 11/4. Peterborough might be emotionally spent after their last-gasp derby win at Northampton.

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Scunthorpe to keep a clean sheet - 1pt @ 11/4
Scunthorpe 1-0 correct score - 1pt @ 10/1