Crawley v Cambridge - Saturday 15:00

Dermot Drummy underlined his ability to run a tight ship at Crawley by holding Bristol Rovers to a 1-1 draw in the FA Cup last weekend. The Pirates had plundered 17 goals in their previous nine matches at League One level but barely got a sniff at the Broadfield Stadium, prompting Darrell Clarke to drop some very complimentary remarks in his post-match interview.

"It’s probably the only time this season we haven’t quite been able to get it going in the final third," said Clarke. He shouldn’t have been so suprised. Crawley boast the best home defensive record in League Two with four clean sheets in seven games and only five goals conceded. On that basis, the home win looks a decent bet at 9/5 here.

Cambridge also face an FA Cup replay next week after they failed to beat Dover on home soil, pegged back by a late equaliser having created very little to build on Pedro Mingoia’s first-half lead. With the return game at The Crabbie now set to be televised on Thursday evening, Shaun Derry’s men might not be overcome with inspiration here, their league campaign is promising little.

The U’s were bottom of the table in late September but climbed the table with three straight wins. Even now, though, after 15 matches, their shot data remains dire. They sit second from bottom on a 41 per cent ratio (below Crawley) and my ratings, for the first time this season, make Drummy’s minnows clear favourites. Back the Crawley 1-0 correct score at 8/1.

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Crawley to win - 1pt @ 9/5
Crawley to win 1-0 - 1pt @ 8/1