LA Galaxy v Seattle Sounders - Sunday 21:00, Sky Sports 3
Galaxy trail Dallas by four points at the top of the Western Conference while Seattle are currently down in 7th, one spot and five points off the final play-off spot, though they do have a couple of games in hand.
Galaxy have lost only one of their last 16 but they have drawn seven of their last 10 and indeed half of their 30 games all season. They’re unbeaten at home, where they have a W8-D7-L0 record, with the majority of those wins against lesser sides as they’re W7-D2-L0 against teams currently in the bottom half, as Seattle are.
Indeed, since the Sounders have lost all seven of their trips to top-half sides this season, we expect Galaxy to pick up the three points. Since Seattle trailed at the break in six of these seven defeats, we’re backing Galaxy to be ahead at half-time and full-time and because six of the losses were also by more than one goal, we’re also backing them to cover the -1 handicap.