Swansea v Watford – Saturday 15:00

Watford were trashed at the Etihad 6-0 last time out, but they’re hardly the first and won’t be the last to suffer at the hands of Guardiola’s team. Swansea, meanwhile, will be entirely satisfied with results on the road after draws with Spurs and Southampton and a win over Palace, though a 4-0 defeat hosting Man Utd and a 1-0 loss to Newcastle won’t provide as much satisfaction. They’ll hope to revert to the form they showed at the Liberty Stadium at the back end of last season after Paul Clement came in, where they were W6-D1-L1 over their last eight, and we’re backing them to pick up their first home win of the season.

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Swansea - 1pt @ 73/50

The Hornets won their opening two away games at Bournemouth and Southampton, two sides that have struggled for goals at the start this season, but manager Marco Silva previously has a long history of performing much better at home than on the road. He was unbeaten on home soil in two seasons at Olympiakos and Sporting, while during his tenure at Hull he lost seven of nine winless matches on the road, compared with six wins from nine at home. Although they were under different management, Watford failed to score in seven of eight trips to bottom-eight clubs last term, and with Swansea having beaten the likes of Stoke, Everton and Leicester without conceding at home last season under Clement, the win to nil holds some appeal at current price.

Swansea to win to nil - 1pt @ 31/10

The Swans have scored at least twice in 11 of their 13 victories since the start of last season, keeping a clean sheet in seven of these. Four of these finished 2-0, which is worth a punt given five of the Hornets 13 defeats last term were by the same score.

Swansea 2-0 - 1pt @ 11/1