Shane Lowry has had a year to remember and he lines up this week as favourite. He negotiated his way around the trees at Firestone to record his first WGC win. He has a great record around Wentworth which I would imagine will have similar form lines to this course once we look at the leaderboard at the end of the week. The price of 16/1 about Shane is quite fair however I'm prepared to pass him up simply because of how narrow this track is. He may be able to handle it but it is enough to put me off the bet. Francesco Molinari who also plays these tracks reasonably well is once again frolicking with the market leaders. If somebody gave me double the price I probably wouldn't invest as his win ratio is poor and he finds it very difficult to get the job done. Around 20/1 is of little interest. Tournament host Ian Poulter is another towards the head of the market. He will be a busy man this week and despite patches of good form this year I don't fancy supporting him around 20/1.
One of the market leaders who we will invest in is Danny Willett. He had a taxing week in Scotland and I'm not put off by his finish down the field in the Alfred Dunhill. Apart from that he has been playing reasonably well. Crans Sur Sierre attributes will not go amiss this week either where Willett has posted two top tens as well as a victory earlier this year. In Italy a few weeks back he finished one shot off the pace despite not playing his best golf. He made the cut at Whistling Straits which isn't exactly up his street. I expect the English golfers to do quite well at this venue, just like Poulter and Rose did in the early 2000s. Willett represents the best of the current batch of English players playing here this week and odds of 20/1 are fair enough. It is not huge value, however from time to time we sacrifice a shade of value in search for a winner. Danny has all the tools to play these tree lined courses well and if he hits a good ball off the tee most of the week we'll be laughing.