The Doha GC has hosted this event since its birth and we arrive here with a wealth of knowledge on the place. That is not always ideal. As I pointed out last week with two different courses on the rota for the CareerBuilder Challenge we were able to seek out a lot more value in the market due to the traders having little knowledge of the new courses. This week it is out there for all to see. Wind plays a big factor in this event and it is set to blow for most of the week. Those with experience playing in the wind have dominated this event down the years. Els, Stenson, Scott, Bjorn, Lawrie, Garcia, Wood and Grace have all either tasted success around Open Championship events or been very close. Primarily we'll be looking for those type of players in the field this week.
Branden Grace is the tournament fav this week and I feel odds of 15/2 are quite generous. He is the defending champion and with solid form over the last 12 months holds every chance of contending here again. His fall from grace (no pun intended...*ahem*) during round 2 last week was quite surprising but he rallied well to get back in the mix over the weekend. With a top ten in this two years ago and a win last year I feel he is well equipped to go well again. His last five worldwide starts read 3rd, 8th, 4th, 4th and 5th. This is some serious form and coming to a track that he really likes he has to be a danger. I really thought I'd see around 6/1 chalked up for this so I'm more than happy to back the South African each way at 15/2.