Understandably Jason Day is jolly this week as he turns up as defending champion. This event in 2015 was a catalyst for a remarkable year for the Aussie and nobody can write him off this week. However, with such a hard task to win this difficult event I'd be looking a shade more value in his current price of 13/2. Dustin Johnson's length off the tee should help this week and he too could go well but I'm slightly put off by a lack of form around these classical layouts. I'll wait for a better opportunity to land the American. There is nothing overly strong to go at in this event but we'll be having a few wagers on a couple of likely sorts to perform around this difficult track.
First of all Charles Howell III must be backed considering his recent form. He has three top 5 finishes and a further three top 10 finishes in this event. He clearly likes this classical test. A win and a runner up finish at a similar test at Riviera also show his credentials for playing well around here. Granted, he is not a prolific winner and landing his third win on tour would be quite a feat. It is worth noting that he has only been outside of the top 20 once in his last seven events. He is in a solid run of form and it would be silly to stray away from him this week despite his poor win ratio for a talented fellow. His price of 50/1 is more than fair considering his form so we'll back him in the hope he can be a shade more ruthless at the business end.